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Zags - 4th best odds to win it all

In case you have not had the pleasure to check out Ken Pomeroy's wonderful work, do so at kenpom.com

He rates teams with math and magic (really just pythagorean theorems). If you want to know how it all works out then just check out the site.

After seeding has been announced Kempom's formulas have Gonzaga listed with the 4th best odds to cut down the nets in Atlanta. The not so good news is 3 of the other 9 teams with the best chance of winning join Gonzaga in the West.


Seed Team Rd32 Swt16 Elite8 Final4 Final Champ 1 in…
3S Florida 96.4 81.5 64.3 48 33 21 5
1MW Louisville 98.7 79.9 65.3 47.7 33 20.2 5
1E Indiana 97.1 82.1 62.1 49.1 28 16.2 6
1W Gonzaga 96.1 61.1 42.5 27.9 14.7 7.5 13
2W Ohio St. 89.8 66.6 46.2 24.4 11.6 5.3 19
2MW Duke 93.5 63.9 40.8 18.4 9.7 4.4 23
1S Kansas 95.1 69.1 42.9 18.1 9.3 4.2 24
8W Pitt 72.5 32 20 11.7 5.3 2.3 43
5W Wisconsin 70.7 51.1 22.7 12.8 5.5 2.3 44


Check out the full list here. It's important to note that Math doesn't win games. That said, Kenpom favors teams who play good defense and have experience. (Only 1 team outside the top 40 defensively has ever made the final 4, GU are 14th defensively)
Gonzaga will most likely face some tough defensive teams in round 2 all the way to the end. Even by advanced metrics though, Gonzaga is favored to make the Final 4 from the west.

It all starts Thursday with Southern, who have a 1 in 18,436,877 chance of winning it all.

Go Zags!


This post does not reflect the views of the blog authors or SB Nation.

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