Saint Mary's [22-7 (10-3), RPI: 55, SOS: 129] The hits just keep on coming for the Gaels. Saint Mary's followed its loss at San Diego -- a team with a plus-300 RPI -- with a home loss to Utah State in the BracketBusters on Saturday. Then the Gaels lost an emotional, hard-fought battle to archrival Gonzaga in overtime Thursday night, and that might be the straw that broke this wobbly at-large camel's back. Saint Mary's obviously can't afford another loss in the regular season -- only a home game with Portland remains -- and it almost certainly has to get to the WCC tournament final to have a chance an at-large bid. Frankly, if the Gaels do make it that far, they'd be better off just finishing the job there. After three straight losses, this team just doesn't have much on its resume to recommend it.
Gonzaga [20-9 (10-3), RPI: 76, SOS: 122] We weren't sure the Zags deserved the bubble love they received from our man Joe Lunardi earlier this week, and we're not sure how much better Gonzaga's profile looks after winning at Saint Mary's on Thursday night. But one thing's for sure: It definitely got better. The win over the Gaels adds another decent RPI win to make up for the Zags' dearth of truly top-notch victories, but Gonzaga does have victories over teams (Xavier, Baylor and Marquette) that most at-large mid-major candidates would love. The Watch still thinks Gonzaga can't afford to lose again before the West Coast final. But if the WCC is going to produce an at-large candidate, it appears likely to be Mark Few's team after all.