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What Kind of Start Should We Expect?

As we speak, the West Coast Conference is probably finalizing its conference slate for 2009-10, Mark Few is probably scheduling official visits for recruits, and, believe it or not, we are a little over two months away from some serious basketball discussion.  Lately, it has become pretty clear that I have never been so nervous/anxious/excited for a season to start in the history of my Gonzaga basketball fandom.   The excitement obviously stems from the youth movement that will be going on in Spokane and that also begs another question that I have been thinking a lot about lately and that is regarding the start of the season.  In year's past and especially last year, Mark Few has scheduled insanely difficult nonconference schedules but has seen his teams start out pretty well and last year they could have wound up as the #1 team in the nation had it not been for the month that was December '08.  This year, the schedule is just as difficult and I can't wait to see how this team starts.  I have a few thoughts on the topic but would love to hear your opinions on the subject.

So for the purpose of writing this piece I'm going to have it my way and assume that Kelly Olynyk is redshirting this season and that the Michigan State game is going to take place in November.  What this means is that Gonzaga will likely have games versus Michigan State, Colorado, Arizona/Wisconsin, and then one of Vanderbilt/Cincinnati/Maryland in the month of November.  Right around the corner in early December are games against Washington State and Wake Forest but the beautiful thing is that both these games will be played at the friendly confines of the MAC.  Our great new member zags430 pointed out that it looks like Duke/Gonzaga will take place December 19th but hopefully by that time, this team is running at full force.

continue reading after the jump to see the keys to a quick Gonzaga start...

Star-divide

There are obviously a couple ways this season could start.  It's hard to expect this team to start out the season without any major hiccup.  Although their are six brand new players coming to Spokane this season, only two have been on campus during the summer so the chemistry level between the rest of the players will only have two months to develop.  I think we have all seen that the talent level is there with the 2009 class.  What Gonzaga will need is an upperclassman to grab the reins and become the dominant leader or else all this new talent will struggle to produce results.  Matt Bouldin is kind of the de facto leader and the face of the program but I feel like the presence of Rob Sacre on the court will mean just as much to this team.  Even in his freshman year, Sacre was a vocal leader.  He started games and really gave the team a lot of direction on the floor.  I may not remember what he is like as a player on the court, but I remember him directing traffic as a freshman.  If he can stay healthy and be a strong, vocal presence in the middle, I think that it will have as much emotional effect on this team as it will actually on the court in terms of production. 

Along with some solid leadership by the upperclassmen, a great deal of the weight lies on the shoulders of the incoming players, whether that is fair or not.  What hopefully eases the growing pains early on in the season is that guys like Bol Kong and Elias Harris have been playing against more mature competition, Bol and a junior college and Elias in German professional leagues.  The player that I may have been worried most about next year as far as immediate production was Mangisto Arop and he just finished up an absolutely remarkable summer making me believe that he could start right away for Gonzaga.  While they will struggle to adjust to the American style of play as far as turnovers and just general fundamentals go, I think Mark Few can utilize the new guys in a way so that they all can play and contribute immediately.  The beautiful thing is that all the new recruits play excellent defense and that will go a very long way in easing what should be a very difficult schedule.   There's no doubt that Gonzaga has plenty of guys that can score, especially in the backcourt, but the added defensive intensity should really change the attitude of this team.  And the length of guys like Kong, Arop, and Dower will absolutely devour opposing offenses. 

So I should have named this post "Zach going on and on about the new recruits part 74" but I think I can tie it all back in to how Gonzaga should start.  The more and more I think about the combination of a solid returning group plus the new athletic recruiting class, it is hard for me to imagine this team not shocking some people right off the bat.  If the rumors are true about Michigan State being in November, I think that the Spartans have a whole lot to be nervous about.  Demetri Goodson should be a hell of a match up for Kalin Lucas and Michigan State doesn't have much in the middle so Rob Sacre could get off to a quick start.  State is loaded everywhere else with guys like Durrell Summers, Raymar Morgan (who has been there for about 13 years), and Delvon Roe but, for the first time in a long time, I feel like Gonzaga can match their athletes straight up.  I'm not saying that I would bet the farm on Gonzaga but...watch out Sparty!

Poll
What is more important for Gonzaga's early season success in 2009-10?
Strong leadership from the veterans
51 votes
Quick learning curve of the incoming class
134 votes

185 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 9 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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Steven Gray

I think even more important than Bouldin stepping in as a leader (which I am fairly confident he will) I think Steven Gray becoming more aggressive is going to be vital to the success of the Zags this season. In earlier posts you said that because he is going to be one of the top scoring options, that will help him break out this season. I agree with you, but he just shows too many signs of tentativeness even when he was one of the primary scorers on the floor last year. If he can truly step up and just become a “give me the ball” type scorer when Gonzaga needs him, I think that will help the younger players transition much more smoothly.

by viva_morrison on Aug 14, 2009 10:56 AM PDT reply actions  

Great point

And welcome, viva_morrison! I’m just so hesitant to include Steven Gray at this point because I haven’t seen the consistency yet. There is absolutely zero doubt that he is probably one of, if not the most skilled player on the team but he’s got to demonstrate some sort of consistent play before he enters the discussion. Obviously it is unfair to ask him to perform like the way he did against Connecticut last season but, as a junior, he has got to play that way more often. He came in as a sharpshooter but I think his slashing could be the key.

The Slipper Still Fits - SB Nation's home for the Gonzaga Bulldogs!

by Zach Bell on Aug 14, 2009 11:12 AM PDT up reply actions  

Could our program finally be at a point where we get freshmen that truely make impacts

It seems like we are so close to having a program where we can truely count on freshmen to come in and make a difference like they do at Big time schools like Memphis and NC have done the last few years— I am very encouraged by all your reports on the new recruits and their ability to be leaders on the teams they were playing on this summer——- Any new news on whether Bol Kong is an absolute yet? I think he would add such a level of athleticism—- At any rate great article— My wife and I are jacked for the season and can’t wait—— thanks you guys for your time and effort to keep us informed.

Jason Vanderwall

by vandyman on Aug 14, 2009 11:28 AM PDT reply actions  

Woops

Sorry, hit the post button by accident on that last one. I was going to say that we are at a point this year where we have to get an immediate impact from our freshman. We’ll probably start one (Elias Harris) and I’d expect Arop and Vilarino to get serious PT. Kong will be a sophomore and will get major minutes too once he settles into the system. As far as how sure I am he will be at Gonzaga, I’d put it at 95%.

Love your enthusiasm and I could talk about the 2009 class every day leading up to the season and be very happy. Such an exciting time.

The Slipper Still Fits - SB Nation's home for the Gonzaga Bulldogs!

by Zach Bell on Aug 14, 2009 11:43 AM PDT up reply actions  

Expectations for this year

I expect this team to be up and down. I think the rebounding will be much improved from last season, but the defense will start out (at least) not being as strong and there will be a lot more TOs just from the fact that these players haven’t been together for a significant amount of time and haven’t had much chance to play with each other. I expect those 2 factors to contribute to some disspointments early on and some frustration. But I think this team has 3 players who are all capable of being fantastic PGs and I expect the TO sitaution to gradually work out as the season continues. If the rebounding stays strong and the offense starts clicking… Things should be looking up come Jan and Feb.

by Nevtelen on Aug 14, 2009 12:13 PM PDT reply actions  

Rebounding

I wonder if that is going to be the case this year about rebounding? Last year we had more 12-15 foot shots and in which create shorter rebounding bounce opportunities. We lost our 3 best rebounders to graduation. They accounted for almost 50% of our rebounds per game at all levels. Excluding GJ, Grant and Manny which would just trade places with Sponge Bob, Ira and Jeremy, that leaves Bol (if he’s here) and Elias along with either Rob or Andy to get the other 50% needed to replace the big 3. I’ve never watched Bol or Elias play before at this level but I have watched Robert and Andy over the past 4 years. If the latter 2 become animals, I think your right on. If they don’t, we might shoot better than our opponents but we’ll get hammered on the boards at D-1 level except in our league, JMO. None of the players coming in, Bol or Elias are as good of rebounders or shot blockers as Austin, yet! Josh and Rob will be a wash but Rob will be around the hoop more for the little missed dinks. That leaves Micah, I think he will be the hardest to replace but certainly that can happen. I’m not trying to be a pessimist here only trying to point out the obvious. I’m trying to remember back 45 years and I can only come up with 2 real young teams that did well right off the top of my head. Those would be UCLA with Richard Washington and Marcus Johnson etal. and the Fab 5 at Michigan. I don’t know, maybe if I thought about it there might be a couple of others. Anyway, my point is again, we have 9 new players to the system with the exception of Rob and ALL ARE YOUNG! Just like HS, there’s a big difference from Frosh to Senior both in play and physical presence at this level. I love the enthusiasm with this class. I will sure feel alot better about it about mid-feb. Great post, thanks.

by mikesequim on Aug 14, 2009 1:43 PM PDT up reply actions  

Great point to bring up those two teams because it leads me directly to the coaching element...

UCLA had Wooden…enough said on that matter. The Fab Five had Steve Fisher, who basically let Jalen Rose and Chris Webber run the show and their pure talent carried them to victories. But remember that all 5 of those freshman were ranked in the top 15 nationally on the recruit scale. I believe the highest we ever got to commit was Austin (mid 20’s). Not much coaching was needed to be done. However, the Fab 5 was 0-3 against Duke all time. Great coaching prevailed great talent in those matchups.

All of these newcomers are raw. Talented, athletic, good defenders…yet still raw. It is up to Few and Co. to create a system in which raw talent can be molded into a NCAA D-1 winning machine. Neilson and the training staff also have their work cut out for them as there are players that need to add a lot of bulk which should help with your rebounding problem.

by DKZagBlazer on Aug 14, 2009 2:10 PM PDT up reply actions  

What should we expect

Loved the article and I liked what you said about Rob assuming a leadership role. I would expect the same from Meech, both on and off the court.
I don’t think it’s too much to expect Steven to perform as he did against uconn – he showed great ability to slash and drive the lane against one of the best teams in the nation so he obviously has the ability. I spent the remainder of last season wondering if I had dreamed that game because we prety much never saw it again. I would like to see him be more aggressive. Bless you guys – I love this site – don’t know how I managed before.

by oldzag on Aug 14, 2009 12:21 PM PDT reply actions  

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