The Implications of 13-23

Since Austin Daye declared for the NBA Draft, we have done our best to report all quotes and stories that have mentioned Daye. In one of the recent quotes that we posted, Daye had this to say about what type of draft position it would take to keep him in the draft.
"I'm really just looking for positive feedback. If they can tell me they're going to take me pretty high ... maybe 13 to 23. If I can get in that range or even better ... it will put me in a position where I have to go because it would be such a good thing."
Now that the NBA draft lottery has happened, and we know what teams will be picking where, lets take a look at picks 13-23, and see what teams it would make sense for Austin to potentially be picked by, and also, where some of the top draft websites have Austin being selected. For this article, I will be using mock drafts from Chad Ford at ESPN, DraftExpress, and Ian Thomsen at CNNSI.
#13: Indiana Pacers: ESPN- Jonny Flynn; DraftExpress- Jonny Flynn; CNNSI- Gerald Henderson
As you can see by the mock selections of the writers, Indiana is likely leaning towards an athletic guard to pair with Danny Granger and Troy Murphy. It appears that TJ Ford is not the answer at PG for the Pacers, which is why Jonny Flynn would make a lot of sense in this position. I think the real need for Indiana would be a big athletic center, but obviously there are not a lot of those available. As for Austin, he makes no sense at this selection, as he plays eh same position as Danny Granger, and Indiana is looking for a player that can come in and contribute immediately.
Chance Austin is selected by Indiana- 0%
#14: Phoenix Suns: ESPN- Earl Clark; DraftExpress- Earl Clark; CNNSI- Jonny Flynn
Phoenix actually strikes me as a spot where Austin might be able to go. Both ESPN and DraftExpress like Earl Clark in this spot, and in my opinion, Clark and Daye offer the same sort of versatile offensive game. Phoenix tried to have a defensive focus this season, and it didn't work out at all. Assuming Alvin Gentry is the coach next season, Phoenix will continue the run and gun kind of offense. In Phoenix, Austin would be able to develop on the bench for a couple of seasons, He also has the offensive game that could potentially thrive in Phoenix.
Chance Austin is selected by Phoenix- 40%
#15: Detroit Pistons: ESPN- Austin Daye; Draft Express- Terrence Williams; CNNSI- B.J Mullens
Obviously, this is the first team that we have seen Austin linked to as a potential draft pick. Here is what Chad Ford had to say about Austin and this pick.
Analysis: The Pistons will begin their summer makeover in the draft. They'd love to add a dominant low-post scorer, particularly a center, but they aren't likely to find anyone who fits the bill.
Blair could fit because of his nastiness in the paint, but the Pistons just gave a similar player, Jason Maxiell, a big contract, and it's no secret that they are looking long and hard at Carlos Boozer and Paul Millsap, both of whom have the opportunity to leave Utah.
Daye could be the most talented player left on the board at this point. Adding him to the squad would be a move for the future, as he has the potential to be great someday. He has a pure game but needs to get stronger and more assertive.
While I generally agree with Chad Ford, I don't think Austin makes any sense hear. After drafting guys like Darko Milicic and Amir Johnson, and seeing these guys with supposed huge potential turn into busts, I think Joe Dumars is wary of taking another guys with loads of potential. As was shown with the success of Rodney Stuckey, I expect Dumars to pick a guy who can contribute immediately, and can play defense at a high level.
Chance Austin is selected by Detroit: 15%
#16: Chicago Bulls: ESPN- Dajuan Blair; DraftExpress- James Johnson; CNNSI- Earl Clark
This is another team where the current roster makes Austin seem like an unlikely pick. The Bulls already have Luol Deng under contract for the next 5 years, and appear likely to re-sign John Salmons. With those two guys locked in at SF, there is no reason for the Bulls to take Austin and develop him. Look for the Bulls to add depth in the frontcourt to go along with Noah, Miller, and Thomas.
Chance Austin is selected by Chicago: 0%
#17: Philadelphia 76ers: ESPN- Eric Maynor; DraftExpress- Eric Maynor; CNNSI- Chase Budinger
Much like the Bulls, Philadelphia already has their SF of the future in Thaddeus Young. Young played great during the playoffs, and with him and Speights as the future, Daye seems to make no sense at this position. I completely agree with ESPN and DraftExpress, and I think Philadelphia will ultimately choose between Maynor and Ty Lawson. With Andre Miller potentially on his way out of Philadelphia, the 76ers must address the PG position.
Chance Austin is selected by Philadelphia: 0%
#18: Minnesota Timberwolves: ESPN- BJ Mullens; DraftExpress- Jrue Holiday; CNNSI- Austin Daye
We now have our second Austin Daye selection by our Mock draft writers. Here is what Ian Thomsen at CNNSI had to say about this selection.
If he stays in the draft, and if the Timberwolves don't package their three first-round picks in a larger trade, the promising Daye will supply shooting and length on the perimeter.
This pick really strikes me as a destination for Austin. With Mike Miller being a flop in the Twin Cities this season, and Corey Brewer being constantly injured, Minnesota might just take a chance on Austin here. I expect the T'Wolves to pick up James Harden at pick #6, and this could be the pick where they take a player for the future. If Mike Miller returns to form, Austin can have the chance to learn from him, and if Miller or Brewer struggle, Austin could see early playing time.
Chance Austin is selected by Minnesota: 60%
#19: Atlanta Hawks: ESPN- Jeff Teague; DraftExpress- Jeff Teague; CNNSI- Eric Maynor
With so much money already invested in Josh Smith and Al Horford, I don't see Atlanta selecting Austin. Mike Bibby is starting to enter the twilight of his career, and Atlanta needs a PG of the future, as Acie Law IV does not appear to be the answer. There is also the potential of Josh Childress returning to the NBA next season, and Atlanta has the rights to his contract.
Chance Austin is selected by Atlanta: 5%
#20: Utah Jazz: ESPN- Tyler Hansbrough; DraftExpress- Austin Daye; CNNSI- Sam Young
With all due respect to the people at DraftExpress, there is no way that Austin Daye ends up in Utah. The two things that have become the staple for the Utah Jazz under Jerry Sloan are defense and toughness. In case DraftExpress hasn't noticed, defense and toughness are not two adjectives normally associated with Austin. Utah will go for a bruiser in the post to replace the likely departing Carlos Boozer. Of all the teams that have been mentioned before, I think Utah is the least likely place for Austin to end up.
Chance Austin is selected by Utah: 0%
#21: New Orleans Hornets: ESPN- Terrence Williams; DraftExpress- B.J Mullens; CNNSI- James Johnson
This is another pick where I think Austin makes a lot of sense. The Hornets are looking to trim salary and continue to build a young core around Chris Paul and David West. The Hornets currently rely on Rasual Butler, James Posey, and Peja Stojakovic for scoring and defense at the wing position. Austin would be an immediate upgrade over Rasual Butler, and could be the eventual replacement for Stojakovic. Austin has the scoring mentality to complement a great PG like Chris Paul, and could form part of a great nucleus down the line.
Chance Austin is selected by New Orleans: 65%
#22: Dallas Mavericks: ESPN- Ty Lawson; DraftExpress- Chase Budinger; CNNSI- Gani Lawal
I go back and forth on whether this is a potential destination for Austin. I think that PG is a very logical pick here for Dallas, as they have no potential replacement for Jason Kidd. However, Dallas hasn't placed a huge premium on defense under Rick Carlisle, and Austin could fit in with the offense that Dallas runs. He could learn from another talented SF in Dirk Nowitzki, and potentially be the guy who replaces the German in Dallas. I don't think this would be the first choice for the Mavericks, as Mark Cuban wants to win now, but if they do elect to pick for the future, Austin could make sense.
Chance Austin is selected by Dallas: 40%
#23: Sacramento Kings: ESPN- Nick Calathes; DraftExpress- Nick Calathes; CNNSI- Derrick Brown
For Austin to be a viable selection at this pick, Sacramento must address its PG situation at #4. There has been some talk that the Kings are infatuated with Jrue Holiday and are considering taking him as high as #4. If the Kings do go PG, then a guy like Austin becomes a possibility. Sacramento has a solid frontcourt of the future with Jason Thompson and Spencer Hawes (I just threw up a little bit), but is certainly lacking at the SF position. The Kings can't continue to rely on Francisco Garcia and Andres Nocioni to play minutes at the SF position. However, I think the Kings will address that at the #4 pick, and then hope for a PG at #23. If the Kings do select Holiday or Flynn at #4, look for Austin to be in play with this pick.
Chance Austin is selected by Sacramento: 35%
What do you guys think of these percentages? Obviously, I think that Austin is going to be in the mix for teams like Minnesota and New Orleans, who both need youth and scoring from the SF position. It should be interesting to see how Austin does at some of the workouts over the next 2-3 weeks, as we approach the June 25th NBA Draft.
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Sacramento
Being a Sacramento fan (which is hard considering that they are so bad that they can’t even rely on chance to get one of the top 3 picks in the draft), I would have to say that they have absolutely no interest in Austin Daye. I’ve made the comparison before, and they picked up Donte Green last year, whom I believe to be Daye’s long lost twin brother. Sacramento is stocked with Austin-like players and at his position, and won’t be likely to take another player based solely on potential. They needed Griffin more than any other player in the draft, with the exception of a point guard. I could see them trading the pick (or #4) to try and get Rubio. If they can’t do that, they’ll try to get the best point guard available (I’m thinking Jennings).
Zagnificent - GU Class of 2011
I Forgot
Well, I forgot to take into effect the idiocy of the various NBA franchises. Based on various General Managers and draft histories of the franchises in the top picks, I predict that the Clippers will find some way to botch the 1st pick, and through a series of complex trades that they do not understand, will end up with Austin Daye and start him with a rookie Salary of $10,000,000/year. Also, God will smite the Kings, and the Lakers will get Griffin for $5/year.
Zagnificent - GU Class of 2011
I think Austin has a much higher ceiling then Donte Green
While Greene can definitely score, he doesnt have near the basketball instincts that Austin possesses. Austin is a great passer for his size, and is also very creative off the dribble.
Final 4 or bust
Detroit/Minnesota
Seem like the logical picks. There’s no need for him in Utah. They need a Carlos Boozer like player since he’s leaving in free agency. Detroit will like him for his defensive upside down the road. Minnesota would give him significant minutes right off the bat. Honestly… I think he’s gone, which has upside for the scholarship situation and next year’s players. Everyone who isn’t gone after this last season have tremendous abilities and great attitudes for the frosh to feed off of. We look like underdogs in most of the pre-2009 top 25 polls, but we can pull some magic.
Let’s go ZAGS!
Interesting point on Detroit
I just don’t feel that Detroit makes a lot of sense for Austin. After all the risks that Joe Dumars has taken over the past 4-5 years (Darko, Amir, AI), I really wonder if he will not just go for something that is close to a “for sure”. What i mean by that, is that I don’t think Dumars will take a risk at 15. I think Detroit will go back to the defense and hard nosed basketball that won them a championship
Final 4 or bust
Detroit.
Honestly… for the first year or two in the NBA, Austin shouldn’t be called on to score if he goes to the Pistons. It will be that height and arm span from his position that will set him up for a defensive role. Sooner or later, the Pistons could groom him into a Ben Wallace type player (Obviously not a center), but one that can score. He’ll be a career 10 and 10 guy. Bringing down boards and scoring enough to win games, while Mr. EWU Rodney Stuckey scores 25-30 a night.
I hope Minnesota takes him. I’d like to actually watch him play off right out of the draft.
Speaking of the Pistons, I saw a mock draft… I forget where… but they had Austin not drafted, Josh going in the second round to Detroit, and Pargo not getting drafted. Really disappointing.
I think all three will be drafted and Micah will go into the D-League before coming up in 2010 season.
Look at Dumars' history
I partially understand what your saying, but two aspects about Detroit I question. First, I don’t think any team is going to select Austin for his defensive prowess and ability to be a 10 and 10 guy. You take Austin because you believe that he has the potential to be a #1 or #2 option on an NBA team….I always see the similarities with Rashard Lewis, but I think Austin is a better passer. Secondly, Joe Dumars has been burnt by drafting on potential instead of taking the sure thing. I think that he is still reeling from picks like Darko and Amir Johnson, and I have to believe he will take the type of guy with a role that can contribute next season.
As for Minnesota at #18….that’s a tremendous fit, and I wouldn’t be surprised in the least if that is where Austin ends up if he stays in the draft.
I really do believe that all 4 will be in an NBA camp this summer…however, I only think 3 will be on an NBA roster next season
Final 4 or bust

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